UK growth numbers for January disappoint

The UK economy unexpectedly stalled in January, missing forecasts for 0.2% growth and underlining how weak activity remains. Services were flat, production fell and only construction provided a small lift, suggesting the recovery is still fragile. The bigger concern is that rising oil and gas prices could push inflation back up and squeeze household spending, leaving the Bank of England with a difficult choice. Weak growth would normally support rate cuts, but stickier inflation means policymakers are still likely to keep rates at 3.75% next week. For investors, that points to a slower path to lower borrowing costs and continued pressure on consumers and businesses. Markets reacted only modestly: sterling slipped about 0.3% against the dollar, while gilt yields remain sensitive to reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts.